http://blog.zero43.top/tags/%E8%AE%A4%E7%9F%A5%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE/Recent content in 认知偏差 on zo0043https://i.postimg.cc/7hwBy7VS/calcr.pnghttps://i.postimg.cc/7hwBy7VS/calcr.pngHugo -- 0.130.0zh©2024 zo0043Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E6%8D%9F%E5%A4%B1%E5%8E%8C%E6%81%B6%E4%BA%8F%E4%B8%80%E7%AC%94%E6%AF%94%E8%B5%9A%E4%B8%80%E7%AC%94%E9%9A%BE%E5%8F%97%E5%BE%97%E5%A4%9A/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E6%8D%9F%E5%A4%B1%E5%8E%8C%E6%81%B6%E4%BA%8F%E4%B8%80%E7%AC%94%E6%AF%94%E8%B5%9A%E4%B8%80%E7%AC%94%E9%9A%BE%E5%8F%97%E5%BE%97%E5%A4%9A/亏损的痛远大于等额收益的乐——死拿亏损股、急着卖盈利股，根子在这。http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E9%94%9A%E5%AE%9A%E6%95%88%E5%BA%94%E6%88%90%E6%9C%AC%E4%BB%B7%E9%AB%98%E7%82%B9%E9%83%BD%E6%98%AF%E9%94%9A/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E9%94%9A%E5%AE%9A%E6%95%88%E5%BA%94%E6%88%90%E6%9C%AC%E4%BB%B7%E9%AB%98%E7%82%B9%E9%83%BD%E6%98%AF%E9%94%9A/大脑见一个数就以它为标尺——你的成本、它的高点，都和价值无关。http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E8%BF%87%E5%BA%A6%E8%87%AA%E4%BF%A1%E4%BD%A0%E5%A4%A7%E6%A6%82%E7%8E%87%E8%B7%91%E4%B8%8D%E8%B5%A2%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%BA/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E8%BF%87%E5%BA%A6%E8%87%AA%E4%BF%A1%E4%BD%A0%E5%A4%A7%E6%A6%82%E7%8E%87%E8%B7%91%E4%B8%8D%E8%B5%A2%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%BA/多数人自认为比实际更会选股，而交易越多，回报越差。http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E7%A1%AE%E8%AE%A4%E5%81%8F%E8%AF%AF%E4%BD%A0%E7%9A%84%E4%BF%A1%E6%81%AF%E6%B5%81%E5%8F%AA%E5%96%82%E4%BD%A0%E6%83%B3%E7%9C%8B%E7%9A%84/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E7%A1%AE%E8%AE%A4%E5%81%8F%E8%AF%AF%E4%BD%A0%E7%9A%84%E4%BF%A1%E6%81%AF%E6%B5%81%E5%8F%AA%E5%96%82%E4%BD%A0%E6%83%B3%E7%9C%8B%E7%9A%84/大脑只收集支持持仓的信息——你不是在接收信息，是在接收确认。http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E5%90%8E%E8%A7%81%E4%B9%8B%E6%98%8E%E6%88%91%E6%97%A9%E7%9C%8B%E5%87%BA%E6%9D%A5%E4%BA%86%E6%98%AF%E9%94%99%E8%A7%89/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E5%90%8E%E8%A7%81%E4%B9%8B%E6%98%8E%E6%88%91%E6%97%A9%E7%9C%8B%E5%87%BA%E6%9D%A5%E4%BA%86%E6%98%AF%E9%94%99%E8%A7%89/事后世界显得显而易见，于是你以为事前自己就那么聪明。http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E8%BF%91%E5%9B%A0%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE%E6%9C%80%E8%BF%91%E4%B8%89%E4%B8%AA%E6%9C%88%E4%B8%8D%E4%BB%A3%E8%A1%A8%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%BA/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E8%BF%91%E5%9B%A0%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE%E6%9C%80%E8%BF%91%E4%B8%89%E4%B8%AA%E6%9C%88%E4%B8%8D%E4%BB%A3%E8%A1%A8%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%BA/大脑按「最容易想起的」估计概率，最容易想起的是最近的。http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E7%BB%93%E6%9E%9C%E5%81%8F%E8%AF%AF%E6%8C%89%E7%9B%88%E4%BA%8F%E5%88%A4%E5%86%B3%E7%AD%96%E6%98%AF%E6%9C%80%E5%B8%B8%E8%A7%81%E7%9A%84%E9%94%99/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E7%BB%93%E6%9E%9C%E5%81%8F%E8%AF%AF%E6%8C%89%E7%9B%88%E4%BA%8F%E5%88%A4%E5%86%B3%E7%AD%96%E6%98%AF%E6%9C%80%E5%B8%B8%E8%A7%81%E7%9A%84%E9%94%99/赚钱=方法对、亏钱=方法错？市场有运气，按结果学习会学到错的东西。http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E8%B5%8C%E5%BE%92%E8%B0%AC%E8%AF%AF%E8%B7%8C%E5%A4%9A%E4%BA%86%E8%AF%A5%E5%8F%8D%E5%BC%B9%E4%BA%86/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E8%B5%8C%E5%BE%92%E8%B0%AC%E8%AF%AF%E8%B7%8C%E5%A4%9A%E4%BA%86%E8%AF%A5%E5%8F%8D%E5%BC%B9%E4%BA%86/跌了很久不等于该反弹——每天的价格不欠你一次回本。http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E7%BE%8A%E7%BE%A4%E8%A1%8C%E4%B8%BA%E4%B8%BA%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%BA%E4%BC%9A%E4%B8%80%E8%B5%B7%E9%94%99/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E7%BE%8A%E7%BE%A4%E8%A1%8C%E4%B8%BA%E4%B8%BA%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%BA%E4%BC%9A%E4%B8%80%E8%B5%B7%E9%94%99/群体里的个体失去批判力，情绪传染——你可能不冲，羊群会冲。http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E6%96%AD%E8%A8%80-%E9%87%8D%E5%A4%8D-%E4%BC%A0%E6%9F%93%E5%8F%99%E4%BA%8B%E6%98%AF%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E8%A2%AB%E5%88%B6%E9%80%A0%E7%9A%84/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000http://blog.zero43.top/escape/%E6%96%AD%E8%A8%80-%E9%87%8D%E5%A4%8D-%E4%BC%A0%E6%9F%93%E5%8F%99%E4%BA%8B%E6%98%AF%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E8%A2%AB%E5%88%B6%E9%80%A0%E7%9A%84/简单绝对的断言、不断的重复、然后传染——叙事是被制造的，不是天上掉的。